By Matthew Dubas
Ukraine needs to brace itself for a period of "tough love" from the
White House and tighter financial aid cuts, but it should take comfort
in the warm relations with a friendly Congress. U.S. constituents
continue to inform and work with our elected officials, as this work is
not only for the benefit of Ukraine, but ought to be led or at least in
coordination with the U.S. for promoting peace and security throughout
the world.
On the military front, Ukraine has
committed allies in Lithuania, Estonia and Latvia, as well as Poland and
Slovakia. Hungary is gravitating toward Moscow, as are Moldova and
Bulgaria after recent elections brought pro-Moscow candidates to power.
A lot of uncertainty with Trump, but that is an element that may throw Putin off his game.
Putin's
demonstration of force in the Mediterranean Sea with a parade of his
fleet, is showing the true state of Russia's military and it is
hopelessly failing at projecting power as its lone aircraft carrier is
towed while billowing black smoke, and one of its latest MIG jets
crashes into the sea.
Should Trump expose this
reality and reveal Russia's military vulnerability, Putin will be
forced to react, perhaps with nukes as that is all that he really has
that he uses to threaten the world (or the world genuinely fears). Many
have equated the standoff to a game of chess or chicken, and Putin's
bluff will need to be called by Trump. If the bluff is not called, then
the world will become a less safe place for everyone.
Matthew Dubas is editor of
the nationally-distributed publication The Ukrainian Weekly. The
newspaper is also distributed throughout Canada and serves as a major source of
news and information for the Ukrainian community in America and abroad. He has
reported on many of the country’s political and social conflicts and worked
with ambassadors, politicians, policy advisors, activists and scholars on a
range of issues concerning Ukraine. The views expressed by Mr. Dubas do not
necessarily reflect those of the publication's management or editorial
staff.
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