First Read is a morning briefing from Meet the Press and the NBC
Political Unit on the day's most important political stories and why
they matter.
The Rubio Paradox
After his strong debate performances, after the
endorsements he's picked up and after Jeb Bush's weakened position,
Marco Rubio looks to be the Republican frontrunner -- at least in the
"establishment" bracket of the GOP race. And there's the emerging
perception that, if the early contests started tomorrow, Rubio would be
the odds-on favorite to win the Republican nomination. But here's what
gives us a little pause: Is he built to win in either Iowa or New
Hampshire? Remember, in this modern political era, every GOP nominee has
won EITHER Iowa or New Hampshire. Right now, he's standing in third
place in public polling in both states - behind both Trump and Carson.
Here was the view of Rubio's Iowa presence a month ago: "I've seen other
campaigns be much more active and much more aggressive," Polk County
Republican Party chairman Will Rogers told NBC's Danny Freeman and Vaughn Hillyard.
"After the debate, people realized he is presidential. But I just don't
fully know or understand what the Rubio strategy is for Iowa." And when
it comes to New Hampshire, consider that the recent GOP winners there
have either had geographical ties (Romney) or appeal with independents
(McCain, Buchanan).
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