Wednesday, February 10, 2016

First Read: Nightmares Come True for Clinton, GOP Establishment

 
First Read is a morning briefing from Meet the Press and the NBC Political Unit on the day's most important political stories and why they matter. 

Nightmares become reality for GOP establishment, Clinton

MANCHESTER, NH -- You couldn't have dreamed a worse outcome for both the Republican establishment and Hillary Clinton's presidential campaign than last night's results here from the New Hampshire primary. And for gloating national Democrats ("Haha, Donald Trump won!") and national Republicans ("A democratic socialist beat Hillary by more than than 20 points!"), it's time to take a look into the mirror. Let's start first with the GOP establishment: Donald Trump won by more than a 2-to-1 margin over his nearest competition; second-place finisher John Kasich doesn't have a simple path to victory in a state until *after* the March 1 primaries; Ted Cruz ran a surprising third; and Jeb Bush even topped Marco Rubio after the Florida senator's rough debate Saturday night. Bottom line: If establishment Republicans were banking on the New Hampshire results to consolidate support around a single contender going forward (Rubio?), well, that didn't happen. And while it's possible that Rubio or another establishment-backed Republican could catch fire in South Carolina 10 days from now, it seems more likely that the race turns into a showdown between Trump and Cruz. The good news for establishment Republicans: There's a way out of this mess -- 45% of GOP voters last night want the next president to have experience, versus 50% who want an outsider, according to the exit polls. The bad news: Five candidates (Kasich, Bush, Rubio, Christie, even Cruz) essentially split that 45%, while Trump took the lion's share of the 50% wanting an outsider. 

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Source: NBC News 

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