First Read: All About Turnout in Iowa

 

By Chuck Todd, Mark Murray and Carrie Dann

 

First Read is a morning briefing from Meet the Press and the NBC Political Unit on the day's most important political stories and why they matter.

 

All about the turnout in Iowa

Yes, it's a cliché, but it's also true: Turnout -- in terms of size and new participants -- will determine who wins Monday's Iowa caucuses, on both sides. Just look at our new NBC/WSJ/Marist poll: Donald Trump now has a seven-point lead over Ted Cruz among likely caucus-goers, 32%-25%, with Marco Rubio at 18%. (Earlier this month, it was Cruz 28%, Trump 24%, Rubio 13%.) 

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Source: NBC News